The Truth About The Current Food Crisis
Switch the news on, or pick up the paper; or simply visit your local supermarket and you will already know that food prices around the world have sky-rocketed, in some cases up to 83%!!
Food protests and riots from Italy to Mexico have begun capturing worldwide attention, and whilst the policymakers are busy pointing fingers at a litany of perpetrators - everything from climate change, high oil prices, a weak dollar and the bio-fuel boom, to sheer population blowout and even ‘meat eaters in China?’ – we can’t overlook a lack of water management either as another 'pet' cause.
Through all these wonderful media efforts, the majority now believe that due to the affluence and ‘good life’ provided by the discovery of oil, the human population of this planet is growing beyond the planet’s ability to produce enough food to meet the future head on...
Look a little deeper though into the recent food riots in several African countries, Indonesia or Haiti - and beyond to the UN Food and Agricultural Organiser’s warning of another 37 countries also facing food shortage - and you’ll soon see that (as FAO Director General, Jacques Diouf put it…) …
Hmmm ... modern day governments and good management? Seems to have become an oxymoron, especially when you hear words like 'kickback' and a rarely mentioned … *erghm* … deregulation.
Yep, pundits across the 1st world have exhausted us all with endless 'air-time cliché’s' describing '...the deregulated financial markets that sparked the mortgage crisis,' bla bla bla ... but the regulatory state of global agricultural markets is something most policymakers and share-invested consumers, don't want to think about at all, let alone try to understand ... and strangely absent from the media’s ever eager eye. Almost taboo, even .. however, the dynamics at play in the collapse of both markets is the same, although the ‘scale of deregulation, proportionate to the scale of consequences,’ varies.
According to FAO statistics, '...the deregulation in agricultural markets - like economic deregulation in other sectors - reached full tilt in the US in the eighties and nineties. Trade and development guru’s preached the wonders of open agricultural markets, unfettered production, and “intensive industrial agriculture.' And, on the backs of their convincing words, the World Bank and International Monetary Funds conditioned new loan policies, which quickly set about purging (heretofore) failsafe government intervention in agricultural markets.
Global ‘commodity agreements,’ ‘price supports for local farmers,’ and other mechanisms which had previously helped maintain stability in global supplies and prices were suddenly dismantled. The World Trade Organization's Agreement on Agriculture, together with multi-lateral and bilateral agreements - including the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - slashed agricultural taxes in the developing world, opening up markets for a new global “agribusiness industry.”
In the U.S., the 1996 Farm Bill eliminated the last vestiges of 'domestic price supports' for the independent farmer, whilst cheaper (imported) feed crops fuelled industrial-level livestock production, increasing meat consumption and driving out many small producers completely.
As one economist in the Organic Consumers Association puts it,
Oh dear, it seems that deregulation hasn’t paid off at all. Indeed, for centuries, since the first hunter-gatherers settled down on the land, grain reserves have been an essential component of functioning food systems in all countries across the globe.
In this way, when market prices are high due to bad growing conditions, ‘grain reserves’ can be released on the market, keeping the prices down for consumers. So too, when prices are low, “reserve (storage) systems” buy up the cheap grain, bringing prices back up… also ensuring ‘rainy day’ supplies for the next spike.
Alarmingly, in the last two decades, however, most ‘free trade’ governments have foolishly allowed ‘reserve systems’ to wither. They have placed full faith in free market imports from poorer third-world countries to self-correct imbalances, totally eliminating a last minute “emergency response mechanism.”
Too bad if there are floods, fire or drought, right … the consumer can starve?
Meanwhile, back on the farm...
Well, after the US mortgage crisis, investors needed a new place to put their money and the idea of growing crops for ethanol was sold to U.S. farmers (for a short while), as a way to '...bail out the rural crisis and channel excess supply,' all the while letting the free market continue to dictate prices.
All this too, despite an alredy volatile market and full knowledge that grain reserves were well depleted. The ‘mega-giant, grain traders” once again started withholding supply in hopes of higher prices for their annual profit margins. '..They played off currency differentials, and quickly exploited shifting production and investments in search of greater ‘bottom line returns,’ all made possible by deregulated markets.
While farmers in the U.S. may have seen the price for a bushel of corn go from US$2 to $6 in the last two years, in Australia fruit farmers are still only getting the few cents per piece of fruit they did 10 years ago. In the meantime, everything from seeds to fertilizer; and from diesel for tractors, has almost tripled in price, severely deflating any increase in income to the farmer at all.
We’ve all heard the catchy phrases that explain the difference between a ‘short windfall’ and a ‘long term profit shift’ but either way, the truth of lies in the farmers profit and his ability to pass on price increases to consumers, in order to cover his cost of production and living. Thanks to deregulation, that is a term that – these days - only the “big guys” have the market power to do…
Last year’s financial reports showed that Mega-agri-companies like Cargill's third-quarter, increased in profits of over 86%. General Mills' were up 61%, and Monsanto's margin rose by a nice tidy 45% ... none of it to be donated to the recent call by World Bank President, Robert Zoellick’s for governments to help make up the US$500 million aid shortfall of the World Food Program.
What, not a cent to help the world's poorest regions, where hundreds of thousands are threatened with starvation?
Sacry, but true... the Agri-giants have become more than just food producers to feed (or not feed) people, they have become common traders - similar to financial traders - but in livestock, commodity and human futures. In an un-regulated global market, these ‘big guys’ have '...gained enough market share that through buying and selling, they can play off both supply and demand' .. and their actions now set the direction of global prices.
They can send shockwaves through the entire system, whenever they want.
That brings us to the first major difference between the housing crisis and the food crisis: the scale of the consequences. When a housing bubble inflates till it pops, people lose their homes. But when a food bubble grows till it bursts, people starve
The problem with “booms” is they're almost inevitably followed by busts. Worse news is that the experts say that what we're seeing right now - skyrocketing food prices and growing hunger - are still the effects of the last ‘forced’ biofuel boom.
What if the weather should turn bad now?
Well, the commodity prices – we are told - could still double over the next few months. But with the stability of the food and agriculture system left up to the whims of mother nature's next crop yield, or how Cargill, ADM and the 'venture capitalists' spin the roulette wheel, it is safe to say that the bust itself ‘is in the making?’
If the domestic rural farm economy collapses completely; we’re not only set to see more farm foreclosures and another banking crisis, but much more global hunger that will make the sub-prime mortgage effects look like a single grain of wheat in an entire wheatfield ... not to mention the old adage that he who controls the food, controls the world.
So what are the UN and world leaders doing about this impending crisis, having so nicely removed themselves from the equation since implementing deregulation …
So far?
Nothing.
In the US the architects of the failed free market system are now prescribing more of the same, and with nowhere left to go, the policymakers are swallowing it part and parcel. However, rather than workable solutions to the problems, Bush's $200 million food aid proposal looks as ineffective as his $300 tax returns, in terms of actually fixing economic malfunction, or widespread malnutrition.
At its root, hunger today is not about lack of food; it's about poverty and inequity, and the inability to access available food because of the core origin of the current free market system and those who control it.
Sources :
Organic Consumers Association Really Long Link
UN Food and Agriculture Organisation http://www.fao.org/
The Daily Reckoning Really Long Link
Business Spectator Really Long Link
www.ennnews.com
Food protests and riots from Italy to Mexico have begun capturing worldwide attention, and whilst the policymakers are busy pointing fingers at a litany of perpetrators - everything from climate change, high oil prices, a weak dollar and the bio-fuel boom, to sheer population blowout and even ‘meat eaters in China?’ – we can’t overlook a lack of water management either as another 'pet' cause.
Through all these wonderful media efforts, the majority now believe that due to the affluence and ‘good life’ provided by the discovery of oil, the human population of this planet is growing beyond the planet’s ability to produce enough food to meet the future head on...
Look a little deeper though into the recent food riots in several African countries, Indonesia or Haiti - and beyond to the UN Food and Agricultural Organiser’s warning of another 37 countries also facing food shortage - and you’ll soon see that (as FAO Director General, Jacques Diouf put it…) …
"This is not Greek tragedy where fate is decided by the gods and humans can do nothing about it. No, we have the ability to influence our futures with good solutions bought about by good management.”
Hmmm ... modern day governments and good management? Seems to have become an oxymoron, especially when you hear words like 'kickback' and a rarely mentioned … *erghm* … deregulation.
Yep, pundits across the 1st world have exhausted us all with endless 'air-time cliché’s' describing '...the deregulated financial markets that sparked the mortgage crisis,' bla bla bla ... but the regulatory state of global agricultural markets is something most policymakers and share-invested consumers, don't want to think about at all, let alone try to understand ... and strangely absent from the media’s ever eager eye. Almost taboo, even .. however, the dynamics at play in the collapse of both markets is the same, although the ‘scale of deregulation, proportionate to the scale of consequences,’ varies.
According to FAO statistics, '...the deregulation in agricultural markets - like economic deregulation in other sectors - reached full tilt in the US in the eighties and nineties. Trade and development guru’s preached the wonders of open agricultural markets, unfettered production, and “intensive industrial agriculture.' And, on the backs of their convincing words, the World Bank and International Monetary Funds conditioned new loan policies, which quickly set about purging (heretofore) failsafe government intervention in agricultural markets.
Global ‘commodity agreements,’ ‘price supports for local farmers,’ and other mechanisms which had previously helped maintain stability in global supplies and prices were suddenly dismantled. The World Trade Organization's Agreement on Agriculture, together with multi-lateral and bilateral agreements - including the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - slashed agricultural taxes in the developing world, opening up markets for a new global “agribusiness industry.”
In the U.S., the 1996 Farm Bill eliminated the last vestiges of 'domestic price supports' for the independent farmer, whilst cheaper (imported) feed crops fuelled industrial-level livestock production, increasing meat consumption and driving out many small producers completely.
As one economist in the Organic Consumers Association puts it,
“Thanks to non-existent anti-trust enforcement and rampant vertical integration, we've reached a level of concentration in our global agriculture system that would make Standard Oil blush. Three companies-Cargill, Archer Daniels Midland, and Bunge-control the vast majority of global grain trading, while Monsanto controls more than one-fifth of the global market in seeds. Consumers from Sioux City to Soweto are more and more dependent on fewer and fewer producers.
By eliminating the breadth and diversity of the system, it seems we've also eliminated its ability to withstand shock, or (worse) manipulation.”
By eliminating the breadth and diversity of the system, it seems we've also eliminated its ability to withstand shock, or (worse) manipulation.”
Oh dear, it seems that deregulation hasn’t paid off at all. Indeed, for centuries, since the first hunter-gatherers settled down on the land, grain reserves have been an essential component of functioning food systems in all countries across the globe.
In this way, when market prices are high due to bad growing conditions, ‘grain reserves’ can be released on the market, keeping the prices down for consumers. So too, when prices are low, “reserve (storage) systems” buy up the cheap grain, bringing prices back up… also ensuring ‘rainy day’ supplies for the next spike.
Alarmingly, in the last two decades, however, most ‘free trade’ governments have foolishly allowed ‘reserve systems’ to wither. They have placed full faith in free market imports from poorer third-world countries to self-correct imbalances, totally eliminating a last minute “emergency response mechanism.”
Too bad if there are floods, fire or drought, right … the consumer can starve?
Meanwhile, back on the farm...
Well, after the US mortgage crisis, investors needed a new place to put their money and the idea of growing crops for ethanol was sold to U.S. farmers (for a short while), as a way to '...bail out the rural crisis and channel excess supply,' all the while letting the free market continue to dictate prices.
All this too, despite an alredy volatile market and full knowledge that grain reserves were well depleted. The ‘mega-giant, grain traders” once again started withholding supply in hopes of higher prices for their annual profit margins. '..They played off currency differentials, and quickly exploited shifting production and investments in search of greater ‘bottom line returns,’ all made possible by deregulated markets.
While farmers in the U.S. may have seen the price for a bushel of corn go from US$2 to $6 in the last two years, in Australia fruit farmers are still only getting the few cents per piece of fruit they did 10 years ago. In the meantime, everything from seeds to fertilizer; and from diesel for tractors, has almost tripled in price, severely deflating any increase in income to the farmer at all.
We’ve all heard the catchy phrases that explain the difference between a ‘short windfall’ and a ‘long term profit shift’ but either way, the truth of lies in the farmers profit and his ability to pass on price increases to consumers, in order to cover his cost of production and living. Thanks to deregulation, that is a term that – these days - only the “big guys” have the market power to do…
Last year’s financial reports showed that Mega-agri-companies like Cargill's third-quarter, increased in profits of over 86%. General Mills' were up 61%, and Monsanto's margin rose by a nice tidy 45% ... none of it to be donated to the recent call by World Bank President, Robert Zoellick’s for governments to help make up the US$500 million aid shortfall of the World Food Program.
What, not a cent to help the world's poorest regions, where hundreds of thousands are threatened with starvation?
Sacry, but true... the Agri-giants have become more than just food producers to feed (or not feed) people, they have become common traders - similar to financial traders - but in livestock, commodity and human futures. In an un-regulated global market, these ‘big guys’ have '...gained enough market share that through buying and selling, they can play off both supply and demand' .. and their actions now set the direction of global prices.
They can send shockwaves through the entire system, whenever they want.
That brings us to the first major difference between the housing crisis and the food crisis: the scale of the consequences. When a housing bubble inflates till it pops, people lose their homes. But when a food bubble grows till it bursts, people starve
The problem with “booms” is they're almost inevitably followed by busts. Worse news is that the experts say that what we're seeing right now - skyrocketing food prices and growing hunger - are still the effects of the last ‘forced’ biofuel boom.
What if the weather should turn bad now?
Well, the commodity prices – we are told - could still double over the next few months. But with the stability of the food and agriculture system left up to the whims of mother nature's next crop yield, or how Cargill, ADM and the 'venture capitalists' spin the roulette wheel, it is safe to say that the bust itself ‘is in the making?’
If the domestic rural farm economy collapses completely; we’re not only set to see more farm foreclosures and another banking crisis, but much more global hunger that will make the sub-prime mortgage effects look like a single grain of wheat in an entire wheatfield ... not to mention the old adage that he who controls the food, controls the world.
So what are the UN and world leaders doing about this impending crisis, having so nicely removed themselves from the equation since implementing deregulation …
So far?
Nothing.
In the US the architects of the failed free market system are now prescribing more of the same, and with nowhere left to go, the policymakers are swallowing it part and parcel. However, rather than workable solutions to the problems, Bush's $200 million food aid proposal looks as ineffective as his $300 tax returns, in terms of actually fixing economic malfunction, or widespread malnutrition.
At its root, hunger today is not about lack of food; it's about poverty and inequity, and the inability to access available food because of the core origin of the current free market system and those who control it.
Sources :
Organic Consumers Association Really Long Link
UN Food and Agriculture Organisation http://www.fao.org/
The Daily Reckoning Really Long Link
Business Spectator Really Long Link
www.ennnews.com
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